Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000595 0.000677 0.000763 0.000861 0.000969 0.001083 0.001215
2025-12-28 0.000483 0.000598 0.000728 0.000885 0.001068 0.001274 0.001522
2026-01-04 0.000418 0.000549 0.000703 0.000897 0.001132 0.001405 0.001744
2026-01-11 0.000360 0.000499 0.000669 0.000890 0.001167 0.001499 0.001923
2026-01-18 0.000314 0.000456 0.000638 0.000881 0.001195 0.001580 0.002083
2026-01-25 0.000283 0.000430 0.000623 0.000889 0.001241 0.001683 0.002271
2026-02-01 0.000254 0.000403 0.000605 0.000890 0.001276 0.001771 0.002441
2026-02-08 0.000221 0.000366 0.000568 0.000863 0.001272 0.001805 0.002541
2026-02-15 0.000194 0.000335 0.000538 0.000842 0.001272 0.001844 0.002646
2026-02-22 0.000175 0.000314 0.000521 0.000837 0.001293 0.001910 0.002787
2026-03-01 0.000159 0.000297 0.000507 0.000835 0.001318 0.001980 0.002935
2026-03-08 0.000142 0.000277 0.000488 0.000824 0.001328 0.002030 0.003055
2026-03-15 0.000127 0.000257 0.000467 0.000810 0.001333 0.002073 0.003169
2026-03-22 0.000120 0.000252 0.000469 0.000831 0.001390 0.002193 0.003392
2026-03-29 0.000112 0.000244 0.000466 0.000843 0.001435 0.002293 0.003589
2026-04-05 0.000102 0.000230 0.000452 0.000836 0.001449 0.002351 0.003727
2026-04-12 0.000092 0.000216 0.000437 0.000828 0.001461 0.002403 0.003858
2026-04-19 0.000086 0.000209 0.000433 0.000835 0.001497 0.002493 0.004045
2026-04-26 0.000079 0.000200 0.000425 0.000836 0.001523 0.002567 0.004209
2026-05-03 0.000069 0.000183 0.000402 0.000811 0.001504 0.002574 0.004273
2026-05-10 0.000061 0.000169 0.000383 0.000791 0.001493 0.002590 0.004352
2026-05-17 0.000056 0.000161 0.000373 0.000786 0.001507 0.002646 0.004490
2026-05-24 0.000052 0.000154 0.000365 0.000784 0.001526 0.002709 0.004640